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Fourth Quarter 2011
Gross National Product & Gross Domestic Product

Sources of Revision
as of January 2012

Revisions in Q3 2011 GDP/GNI estimates

Based on the Revision Policy approved by the NSCB Executive Board through NSCB Resolution No. 8-97, and consistent with the international practice on the revision of National Accounts, we are reflecting the corrections and revisions in our previous estimates, based on the revisions and updates made by the data sources themselves, including those made by NSO, BSP, DOE, DBM, POEA, BAS, SRA, FMB, water utilities, and airline companies.

For the third quarter, the largest contributors to the upward revision of GDP were Construction and RERBA with 0.21 percentage point and 0.11 percentage point, respectively.   Other upward contributions on the production side came from:

    1. Manufacturing with 0.09 percentage point;

    2. Other Services with 0.08 percentage point;

    3. Agriculture and Forestry  with 0.05 percentage point

    4. Public Administration and Defense:  Compulsory Social Security with 0.02 percentage point; and,

    5. Electricity, Gas and Water Supply and Mining & Quarrying with 0.01 percentage point each.

On the other hand, downward revisions came from:

    1. Financial Intermediation with 0.14 percentage point;

    2. Transport, Storage and Communication with 0.02 percentage point; and,

    3. Fishing with 0.01 percentage point

Meanwhile, NPI contributed 0.21 percentage point to the upward revision of GNI.

 As a result of all the revisions for the third quarter, GDP growth was revised upward from 3.2 percent to 3.6 percent while GNI was similarly revised upward from 1.6 percent to 2.1 percent.  A more complete tabulation of our revisions is included in our publication.

 

I. Expenditure Accounts

Q3 2011
 Growth Rates

2010-2011 Reasons for revisions
As of
November
2011
As of
January
2012
Change
1. Household Final Consumption Expenditure
Current        
Q3 11.3 11.0 -0.2 Updated data on indicators for household final consumption expenditures
Constant      
Q3 7.1 6.8 -03
         
2. Government  Consumption Expenditure
Current       Updated data from the 2012 BESF, DBM and staffing summary DBM
Q3 14.3 12.0 -2.3
Constant      
Q3 9.4 7.1 -2.2
         
3. Capital Formation
Current        
Q3 23.0 25.3 2.4  
Constant        
Q3 24.5 28.0 3.5  
         
  A. Fixed Capital
Current        
Q3 0.6 2.4 1.8  
Constant        
Q3 0.5 3.3 2.8  
         
 1. Construction
Current        
Q3 -7.2 -3.4 3.8

Availability of Statement of Financial operations of the 14

Constant        
Q3 -10.6 -8.0 2.6 Availabilty of 90 days QSPBI. Updated WPI for construction materials, Fuels, and Lubricants.
         
 2. Durable Equipment
current       Revision in June 2011 imports data. Revision in durable equipment related to manufacturing sector.
Q3 9.8 9.3 -0.5
  constant      
Q3 9.9 13.4 3.6
         
 3. Breeding Stocks & Orchard Dev't
current       Revised BAS data for the volume of inveteory for liestock and poultry
Q3 4.8 5.0 0.2
constant      
Q3 0.2 0.8 0.6
         
 B. Change in Inventories
current      

Updated indicators on inventories and updated indicators on crude oil from DOE.
Availability of 90 days QSPBI for trade

Q3 39,744 41,201 1,457.1
constant      
Q3 18,628 19,086 458.4
         
C. Intellectual Property Products
current       Updated data on office machines & data processing.
Q3 6.3 6.0 -0.3 Updated data on Mining and Quarrying.
  constant       Availabiilty of 90 days QSPBI for non-BPO. Updated data for entertainment, literary of artistic originals
Q3 9.4 9.1 -0.4  
         
4. Exports
current        
Q3 -12.1 -10.1 2.0  
  constant        
Q3 -13.1 -11.9 1.2  
         
A. Export of Goods
current       NO REVISION
Q3 -16.1 -16.1 0.0
constant      
Q3 -14.8 -14.8 0.0
         
B. Export of Services
current       Due to revise July & August 2011 BOP data. Availabilty Sept. 2011 BOP data from BSP. Availability of 2011 Tourist Receipts from DOT.
Q3 1.2 9.6 8.4
constant      
Q3 -2.5 5.6 8.1
         
5. Imports
current        
Q3 5.1 5.2 0.0  
constant        
Q3 0.5 0.4 -0.1  
         
A. Import of Goods
current       Updated September 2011 imports data from NSO.
Q3 6.4 5.8 -0.6
constant      
Q3 0.6 -2.1 -2.6
         
B. Import of Services
current       Due to revise BOP data July-Aug and availability of Sept. BOP data.
Q3 -0.1 2.4 2.5
constant      
Q3 0.2 11.7 11.5
         
6. Net Primary Income
current       Revise BOP data on property income and property expense. Updated data on deployment.
Q3 -0.4 0.3 0.7
constant      
Q3 -3.4 -2.5 0.9
         

 

II. Production Accounts

Q3 2011
 Growth Rates

2010-2011 Reasons for revisions
As of
November
2011
As of
January
2012
Change
1. Agriculture, Fishery, Forestry
current        
Q3 10.3 10.4 0.1  
  constant        
Q3 1.8 2.1 0.3  
         
a. Agriculture and Forestry Updated log production data from FMB.
Revised volume and price of selected agricultural commodities from BAS.
current      
Q3 12.3 12.7 0.3
  constant      
Q3 3.7 4.3 0.6
       
b. Fishing
current      
Q3 0.3 -0.5 -0.7
  constant      
Q3 -6.1 -6.6 -0.5
         
2. Industry
current        
Q3 3.7 3.0 -0.7  
  constant        
Q3 -0.2 0.8 1.0  
         
   a. Mining and Quarrying
current        
Q3 21.8 -2.5 -24.3 Availability of Q3 2011 metallic production report from MGB Revised QSPBI for stone and quarrying from NSO.
  constant      
Q3 1.1 1.7 0.6
         
   b. Manufacturing
current        
Q3 5.4 5.0 -0.4 Updated data in QSPBI. Updated value of production in MISSI. Revision in PPI (for inflation)
  constant      
Q3 3.1 3.5 0.4
         
   c. Construction
current        
Q3 -7.1 -3.4 3.7 Availability of Statement of Financial operations of the 14 MNFGC's ( GOCC). Availability of 90 days Building Permits data. Updated WPI for construction materials, fuels & lubricants.
  constant      
Q3 -12.2 -8.5 3.6
         
   d. Electricity, Gas, Water
current        
Q3 4.2 4.5 0.3 Availabilty of 90 days QSPBI.
  constant      
Q3 -1.0 -0.7 0.2
         
3. Services
current        
Q3 9.7 9.7 0.0  
  constant        
Q3 5.3 5.4 0.1  
         
   a. Transport., Comm., Storage
current        
Q3 8.3 7.8 -0.5 Updated 90 days QSPBI data
  constant      
Q3 4.9 4.6 -0.3
         
   b. Trade and Repair of Motor Vehicles, Motorcycles, Personal and Household Goods
current        
Q3 9.0 9.1 0.1

Updated QSPBI data, availability of full quarter WPI.

  constant      
Q3 3.8 3.8 0.0
         
   c. Financial Intermediation
current        
Q3 8.2 6.0 -2.2 Updated 90 days QSPBI data.
  constant      
Q3 3.6 1.4 -2.1
         
   d. R. Estate, Renting & Business Activities
current        
Q3 12.7 13.8 1.1 Updated QSPBI.
  constant      
Q3 7.6 8.6 1.0
         
   e. Public Administration & Defense; Compulsory Social Security
current        
Q3 9.4 10.0 0.6 Availability of Q1 90 days QSPBI.
  constant      
Q3 7.0 7.8 0.8
         
   f. Other Services
current        
Q3 9.2 10.0 0.8 Availabilty of 90 days QSPBI data.
  constant      
Q3 7.0 7.8 0.8
         
GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT
current        
Q3 7.8 7.8 -0.2  
constant        
Q3 3.2 3.6 0.4  
         
GROSS NATIONAL  PRODUCT
current        
Q3 5.7 5.8 0.1  
  constant        
Q3 1.6 2.1 0.5  
         

 

 

NATIONAL ACCOUNTS OF THE PHILIPPINES
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