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Leading Economic Indicator (LEI) - the behavior of indicators that consistently move upward or downward before the actual expansion or contraction of overall economic activity.  The system is based on an empirical observation that the cycles of many economic data series are related to the cycles of total business activity.

Highlights
1st Quarter 2013
Leading Economic Indicator (LEI) slightly inches up
in the first quarter of 2013
(Posted 26 February 2013)

The composite leading economic indicator (LEI) slightly inched up in Q1 2013 posting a negative 0.008 from a revised negative 0.013 in the fourth quarter of 2012.  After four consecutive quarters of decline in 2012, the composite index regained in Q1 2013 but remained in the negative territory in the last two quarters. [more]

Key Figures

Composite leading economic indicator (LEI) versus
 the Non-Agriculture GVA cycle: Q3 1988 to Q1 2013

Contact Information

For further information about these and related statistics, contact the National Statistical Information Center at (632) 8952767, e-mail address info@nscb.gov.ph.

Focal Person

Cynthia S. Regalado and Aileen S. Oliveros
Tel. No.: (+6 32) 895-5002; (+6 32) 896-7981
E-mail: cs.regalado@nscb.gov.ph; as.oliveros@nscb.gov.ph

Updated: 18 January 2013